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Wednesday, July 23, 2003

Rude Awakening

If anyone believed that the elimination of Saddam’s sons’ would represent a magic wand to make Iraqi anti-US guerrillas go away, today they received proofs to the contrary. Attacks continue like nothing happened. 2 US soldiers are killed, one of them in vicinity of Mosul, with local guerrillas apparently unimpressed with American ability to take out their most senior leaders in that area.

US administration should abstain from overplaying importance of this coup. Some guerrilla movements can’t survive the death of their leaders, like Angola’s UNITA. Some can, as Russians learned in Chechnya after taking out top Chechen leader Dzokhar Dudayev. It would take a while for Iraqi resistance to show to which category it belongs.

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