[ELECTIONS 2003] Latest Projection

Breakdown of seats won in "regular" districts:

HDZ – 62 seats
SDP (Libra & LS included) – 43 seats
HNS (PGS included) – 11 seats
HSS – 9 seats
HSP – 8 seats
HSLS-DC – 3 seats
HSU – 3 seats
HDSS – 1 seat

Disapora seats:

HDZ – 3 seats

Minority seats:

SDSS (Serb Democratic Independent Party) – 2 seats
SNS (Serb People's Party) – 1 seat
HSS – 1 seat
SDAH (Party of Democratic Action of Croatia/Bosniacs) – 1 seat
Independent candidates – 3 seats

There would be 151 seats. There are 76 seats needed for majority.

HDZ has 65 seats and requires 11 seats.

The most likely way for Sanader to form majority is to add HSS and HSLS-DC votes. That would give his party 1 seat majority. Not very stable, but definitely more desirable than combination that would bring far right HSP into the fold or even some minor players like HDSS or HSU.